Assessing the Impacts of Direct and Indirect Taxes on Private Investment in Iran

Document Type : Experimental

Authors

master in economics, razi university

Abstract

The effects of the tax on economic activities are one of the most important issues in general finance. Taxes are the most important source of revenue for the government, in addition to being an important means of implementing government fiscal policies. Since taxes affect resource allocation, they will have important effects on real economic variables. Therefore, the effects of direct and indirect taxation on private investment have been studied. The method of gathering statistics and data is a library based on time series statistics of 1996-2018, which are derived from the central bank, the effect of government development expenditure, GDP, direct tax, indirect tax, business index, and risk index on investment have been estimated using the ARDL method for the Iranian economy. Government construction expenditure, direct taxation and risk index have a negative relationship with private investment, but GDP, indirect taxes and business index have a positive impact on private investment. Considering the inverse relation between direct tax and private investment as well as the positive relation between indirect tax and private investment, the imposition of tax breaks for direct taxes and an increase of indirect taxes can be effective in encouraging private investment.

Keywords


Afonso, A. and St. Aubyn, M. (2009). Macroeconomic Rates of Return of Public and Private Investment: Crowding - inandCrowding – outE-ects. The Manchester School, 77: 21-39.
Alves, Jos. (2018). the Impact of Tax Structure on Investment: An Empirical Assessment for OECD Countries. REM Working Paper.
Arabmazar, A. & Zamanzadeh, A. & Shayesteh, Z. (2014). Investigating the effect of tax on private investment behavior by emphasizing tax policies in the Fifth Development Plan. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Modeling, 14, 25-45. (In Persian)
Biza, R, A. (2015). Do budget deficits crowd out private investment an analysis of the South African economy, Int. J. Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 8(1), pp. 52-96
Brandstetter, L. and Jacob, M. (2013). Do Corporate Tax Cuts Increase Investments? Arqus-Diskussionsbeitrage zur quantitativen Steuerlehre 153.
Ezadkhasti, H. & Arabmazar, A. (2016). Analyzing the Effects of Efficient Financial and Tax Policy on Private Investment in Iran with Emphasis on Corporate Income Tax and Government Financial Discipline. Tax Research Journal, 32, 12-34. (In Persian)
Noferesti, M. (2008). Unit root and cointegration in econometrics. Rasa Cultural Services Institute, first edition, Tehran. (In Persian)
Pazhoyan, J. & Khosravi, T. (2012). The impact of corporate taxes on private sector investment. Journal of Applied Economics, 3. (In Persian)
Pazhoyan, J. & Khosravi, T. (2013). The impact of corporate tax on private sector investment using a marginal approach. Sciences Journal of Economics, 7, 96-121. (In Persian)
Pazhoyan, J. (2012). Public sector economics (taxes. Forest), 116-118. (In Persian)
Pesaran, M. H., & Pesaran, B. (1997). Working with Microfit 4.0: Interactive Econometric Analysis. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1999). An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modelling Approach to Cointegration Analysis. In: Strom, S. (Ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Chapter 11.
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y., & Smith, R.J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16: 289–326.
Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. P. (1998). Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs. Journal of Economic Survey, 12: 471–505.
Rodrigo, Verdava. (2004). Taxation and Private Investment: Evidence for Chile.
Rostami, V. & Asadzadeh, V. (2017). Legal review of the impact of taxes on foreign investment. Tax Research Journal, 81, 149-165. (In Persian)
Ruud de, M., & Gaetan, N. (2007). Corporete Tax Policy and Incorporation in the UE. International Tax and Public Finance. 15, 478-498. 
Shah, A. (1995). Fiscal Incentives for Investment and Innovating. New York, Oxford University press.