The Nonlinear Effect of Inflation on Income Inequality (Developing-Countries Study)

Document Type : RESEARCH PAPER

Authors

1 MSc, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Allameh Tabataba`i University, Tehran, Iran.

2 Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Mazandaran University, Babolsar, Iran.

3 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Allameh Tabataba`i University, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

Income inequality is an important economic issue that many countries around the world face. In recent decades, due to the increasing trend of income inequality and its adverse effects on the economy of each country, this issue and the factors affecting it have been considered by researchers and economic policymakers. Given the importance of this issue, this article examines the impact of inflation on income inequality in 66 developing countries, including Iran during the period 1995-2018. Dynamic panel data model and generalized method of moments (GMM) have been used to investigate the issue. The results show that there is a nonlinear U-shaped relationship between total inflation and income inequality; That means, when inflation starts to rise from zero, income inequality decreases to the threshold of total inflation (the threshold of total inflation In this study, about 12/07 has been obtained.), And after reaching the inflation threshold with increasing inflation, income inequality also increases. Therefore, there is a nonlinear U-shaped relationship between total inflation and income inequality. Regarding the relationship between the components of inflation and income inequality, the results of the model show a U-shaped nonlinear relationship between projected inflation and income inequality, but unforeseen inflation has no significant relationship with income inequality. The results also show that increasing per capita GDP and urbanization improves income inequality and increasing them will improve the situation of income inequality, but increasing international trade freedom in the countries studied worsens the situation of income inequality. No significant relationship was found between unemployment and income inequality.

Keywords


Abdollah Milani, M., Parvin, S., seyedi, K. (2017). Progressive Income Tax Structure and Its Effect on Income Inequality in Iranian Provinces. Economics Research, 17(66), 1-22. (In Persian)
Abounoori, A., Mofateh, S., Parhizi, Hadi (2010). Analysis of the Effect of Inflation on Income Distribution in Iran (Comparative Analysis of Urban and Rural Areas of Iran). Quarterly Journal of Economic Sciences, 4(13), 77-96. (In Persian)
Ahmadi, A., Rostami Nia, M., & Gheibi, A. (2015). The Effect of Financial Development on Income Distribution in Selected Developing Countries and Developed Countries by GMM Generalized Torque Method. Financial Economics Quarterly, 10(36), 15-32. (In Persian)
Amornthum, S. (2004). Income inequality, inflation and nonlinearity: the case of Asian economies. University of Hawaii, Economic Research Organization, Lecture note, (601).‏
Ansari Samani, H., Khilkordi, R. (2019). Unemployment and Income Inequality in Iran Provinces. Iranian Journal of Economic Research, 24(81), 157-186. (In Persian)
Armanmehr, M., & Farahmandmanesh, A. (2018). Investigating the Effect of Inflation on Income Inequality of Urban Households in Iran Using the Atkinson Approach. Journal Of Economics and Regional Development, 25(16), 127-152. (In Persian)
Baltagi, B. (2005); Econometric analysis of panel data, Third Edition, McGraw-Hill, US.
Baltagi, B. H. (2008). Econometric analysis of panel data (Vol. 4). Chichester: John wiley & sons, United Kingdom.
Barro, R. J. (1997). Determinants of Economic Growth: A cross-Country Empirical Study. MIT Press. Cambridge. NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES, 1996(5698), 1-79.
Blinder, A. S., & Esaki, H. Y. (1978). Macroeconomic activity and income distribution in the postwar United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 60(4), 604-609.‏
Bulíř, A. (2001). Income inequality: does inflation matter?. IMF Staff papers, 48(1), 139-159.‏
Chang, J. (2006). Globalization and English in Chinese higher education. World Englishes, 25(3‐4), 513-525.‏
Galli, R. (2001). Is inflation bad for income inequality: The importance of the initial rate of inflation. Employment Paper, 2001(29), 1-38.
Golkhandan, A. (2016). Threshold Effect of Inflation on Income Inequality: Smooth Transition Regression (STR) Model. Journal of Iran's Economic Essays, 13(25), 75-95. (In Persian)
Law, C. H., & Soon, S. V. (2020). The impact of inflation on income inequality: the role of institutional quality. Applied Economics Letters, 27(21), 1735-1738.‏
Li, H., & Zou, H. F. (2002). Inflation, growth, and income distribution: A cross-country study. Annals of Economics and Finance, 3(1), 85-101.‏
Monnin, P. (2014). Inflation and income inequality in developed economies. CEP Working Paper Series, 2014(1), 1-25.
Noor Mohammadi, Kh., Arab Mazar, A., Mehregan, N., & Partoyi, B. (2021). An Analysis of Government Expenditures Influences on Income Inequality in Provinces of Iran (Using the Generalized Method of Moments). Financial Economics and Development, 14(53), 1-19. (In Persian)
Radfar, M., Zomorodiyan, G., & Karimkhani, M. (2020). Investigating the interactions of inequality income, employment and economic growth. Journal of Investment Knowledge, 9(33), 283-299. (In Persian)
Shakeri, A., Jahangard, E., & Aghlami, S. (2013). The Nonlinear Effect of Inflation on Income Inequality in Iran. The Economic Research, 13(4), 27-53. (In Persian)
Siami-Namini, S., & Hudson, D. (2019). Inflation and income inequality in developed and developing countries. Journal of Economic Studies, 46(3), 1-39.
Sieroń, A. (2017). Inflation and income inequality. Prague Economic Papers, 26(6), 633-645.‏
Stossberg, S., & Blöchliger, H. (2017). Fiscal decentralisation and income inequality: Empirical evidence from OECD countries. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 237(3), 225-273.‏
Taylor, L. (2000). External liberalization, economic performance, and distribution in Latin America and elsewhere.‏ World Institute for Development Economics Research, Working paper 215, 1-38.
Thalassinos, E., Ugurlu, E., & Muratoglu, Y. (2012). Income Inequality and Inflation in the EU.‏ European Research Studies Journal, 15(1), 127-140.
Ybrayev, Z. (2021). Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies: Dollarization, Domestic Inflation, and Income Divergence. Comparative Economic Studies, 63(1), 1-25.‏
Zamani-Shabkhaneh, S., & Mehregan, N. (2013). The Impact of Urbanization on Income Distribution with Emphasis on the Kuznets’ Theory. Journal of Planning and Budgeting, 18(3), 3-19. (In Persian)
Zheng, Z. (2020). Inflation and income inequality in a Schumpeterian economy with menu costs. Economics Letters, 186, 108524.