The Impact of Value of stock market on Poverty and Inequality: A Case Study of Iran’s Provinces

Document Type : RESEARCH PAPER

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran.

2 Master's graduate, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran.

Abstract

Equity market liquidity can prevent the outflow of large capital and enhance economic growth by transforming it into investment in productive projects, resulting in increased production, employment, and wage growth, ultimately reducing income inequality in developing countries, such as Iran. Lack of sufficient capital is considered one of the effective factors contributing to low economic growth and, consequently, poverty and income inequality. In a world where some people live in poverty and income disparity is evident, investigating poverty and human welfare in the context of global development holds a crucial position. Alongside the significance of the stock market as part of the capital market and its potential impact on these issues, especially in less developed countries like Iran, this study investigates the effect of value of transactions on poverty and income inequality in Iranian provinces from 2011 to 2022 using panel data and Generalized Least Square (GLS) estimator. The validity and sensitivity of the results are also examined using Panel System Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) estimator. The results of the poverty model show a significant inverse relationship between equity market liquidity and the poverty index in all provinces, including both developed and less developed provinces. In other words, an increase in equity market liquidity has led to a decrease in the poverty rate. However, in developed provinces, the liquidity of the equity market has contributed to an increase in poverty. On the other hand, equity market liquidity has not shown any significant impact on income inequality in the three groups of total provinces, developed provinces, and less developed provinces. it is suggested that measures such as market transparency, increased market access, reduced transaction costs, improved market infrastructure, financial support for firms from the capital market, and increased involvement of low-income individuals and the poor in the stock market should be taken to enhance the role of equity market liquidity in reducing poverty and promoting more equitable income distribution.

Keywords

Main Subjects


Afshari, Z., & Beykzadeh, S. (2016). Financial Development, Income Inequality, and Poverty in Iran. Quarterly Journal of Economic Development Policy, Al-Zahra University, 5(1), 9-28. (In Persian)
Aghion, P., & Bolton, P. (1997). A theory of trickle-down growth and development. The Review of Economic Studies, 64(2), 151-172.
Assari, A., Naseri, A., & Aghaei, M. (2008). The Impact of Financial Development on Poverty and Inequality in OPEC Countries. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 9(3), 29-51. (In Persian)
Baltagi, H. B. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. John Wiley and Sons. Third Edition.
Banerjee, A. W., & Newman, A. F. (1993). Occupational Choice and the Process of Development. Journal of Political Economy, 101, 279-298.
Beck, T., & Levine, R. (2004). Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(3), 423-442.
Beck, T., A. Demirguc-Kunt, and R. Levine, (2007). Finance, Inequality, and the Poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 12, 27-49
Becker, G. S., & Tomes, N. (1979). An equilibrium theory of the distribution of income and intergenerational mobility. Journal of Political Economy, 87(6), 1153–1189.
Becker, G. S., & Tomes, N. (1986). Human capital and the rise and fall of families. Journal of Labor Economics, 4(3), 1–39.
Bencivenga, V. R., Smith, B. D., & Starr, R. M. (1995). Transactions costs, technological choice, and endogenous growth. Journal of Economic Theory, 67(1), 153-177.
Blau, B. (2018). Income Inequality, Poverty, and the Liquidity of Stock Markets. Journal of Development Economics, 130, 113-126.
Boukhatem, J. (2015). Assessing the Direct Effect of Financial Development on Poverty Reduction in a Panel of Low -and Middle- Income Countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 214-230.
Burgess, R., & Pande, R. (2005). Do rural banks Matter? Evidence from the Indian social banking experiment. American Economic Review, 95, 780–795.
Calderon, C., and L. Liu, (2003). The Direction of Causality between Financial Development and Economic Growth. Journal of Development Economics, 72, 321-334
Dalton, H. (1920). The measurement of the inequality of incomes. The Economic Journal, 348-361.
Demirguch, A., Stylized, A., & Levin, R. (1996). Stock Market Development and Financial Intermediates: Stylized Facts. The World Bank Economic Review, 10, 291-321.
Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2009). Finance and inequality: theory and evidence. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 1, 287–318.
Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (Eds.). (2004). Financial structure and economic growth: A cross-country comparison of banks, markets, and development. MIT press.
DFID. (2004). Financial sector development: a prerequisite for growth and poverty reduction? Policy Division, Department for International Development, London.
Díaz, A., & Escribano, A. (2020). Measuring the multifaceted dimension of liquidity in financial markets: A literature review. Research in International Business and Finance, 51, 101079.
Edison, H. J., Levine, R., Ricci, L., & Slok, T. (2002). International Financial Integration and Economic Growth. Journal of International Money and Finance, 21(6), 749-776.
Ebrahimi, S., & Farnaghi, E. (2016). Effective Factors on Stock Liquidity with Emphasis on Monetary and Fiscal Policies. Quarterly Journal of Economic Research and Policies, 24(77), 7-36. (In Persian)
Galor, O., & Moav, O. (2004). From physical to human capital accumulation: Inequality and the process of development. The Review of Economic Studies, 71(4), 1001-1026.
Galor, O., & Zeira, J. (1993). Income distribution and macroeconomics. The Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 35-52.
Greenwood, J., & Jovanovic, B. (1990). Financial development, growth, and the distribution of income. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 1076–1107.
Haughton, & Khandker. (2009). Handbook on Poverty and Inequality. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the World Bank, (ch3, pp.39-64).
Jalilian, H., & Kirkpatrick, C. (2002). Financial development and poverty reduction in developing countries. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 7(2), 97-108.
Khan, L., & Vietchu, H. (2019, July 28). Is Too Much Liquidity Harmful to Economic Growth. The Quarterly Review of Economic and Finance. Retrieved from www.elsevier.com/locate/qref.
Khan, A., 2001. Financial Development and Economic Growth. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 5, 413-433.
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, 45, 1-28.
Leirvik, T., Fiskerstrand, S., & Fjellvikås, A. (2017). Market liquidity and stock returns in the Norwegian stock market. Finance Research Letters, 21, 272-276.
Levine, R. (1991). Stock Markets, Growth, and Tax Policy. Journal of Finance, 46(4), 1445-1465.
Levine, R. (1996). Stock market liquidity and economic growth: Theory and evidence. In L. Paganetto & E. S. Phelps (Eds.), Universita degli studi di Roma tor Vergata.
Levine, R. (1997). Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(2), 688-726.
Levine, R., Loayza, N., & Beck, T. (2000). Financial intermediation and growth: causality and causes. Journal of Monetary Economics, 46, 31–77.
Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American Economic Review, 88, 537–558.
Li, H., Squire, L., & Zou, H. (1998). Explaining international and intertemporal variations in income distribution. Economic Journal, 108, 28–43.
Mathew, E. (2008). Stock Markets and Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study. Master Thesis, Singapore Management University.
McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and Capital in Economic Development. Brooking Institution, Washington D.C.
Moran Timothy, Patrik. (2005). Theorizing the relationship between inequality and economic growth. Theory and Society, 34, 289–291.
Pagano, M. (1993). Financial markets and growth. European Economic Review, 37, 613–622.
Quibria, M. G. (1991). Understanding Poverty: An Introduction to Concept & Measurement Issues. Asian Development Review, 9(2), 90-112.
Rewilak, J. (2017). The Role of Financial Development in Poverty Reduction. Review of Development Finance, 2(7), 169-176.
Rajan, R.G., and L. Zingales, 1998. Financial Dependence and Growth. American Economic Review, 88, 559-586
Romer, P. (1989). Endogenous Technological Change. NBER Working Paper No. 3210.
Schumpeter, J. A. (1912). Theorie der Wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung. Dunker and Humblot, Leipzig, Germany.
Schaltegger, C., & Weder, M. (2014). Austerity And Politics. European Journal of Political Economy, 33, 1-22.
Stiglitz, J. (1998). The role of the state in financial markets. In M. Bruno & B. Pleskovic (Eds.), Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics. World Bank, Washington, DC, pp. 19-52.
Stiglitz, J. E. (1925). Credit Markets and the Control of Capital. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 11(2), 133–152.
Yu Hsing. (2005). Economic growth and income inequality. International Journal of Social Economics, 32, 639–647.
Zhang, M., & Ben Naceur, S. (2018). Financial Development, Inequality, and Poverty: Some International Evidence. International Review of Economics & Finance, 61, 1-16.